Description: A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes's theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy. At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes's theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Book and Mortar Record Store Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World -- Tom Chivers A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes's theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy. At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes's theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence? Fusing biography, razor-sharp science writing, and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes's theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences. Author: Tom Chivers Publisher: Atria/One Signal Publishers Published: 05/07/2024 Pages: 384 Binding Type: Hardcover Weight: 1.19lbs Size: 9.24h x 6.39w x 1.28d ISBN: 9781668052600 Review Citation(s): Publishers Weekly 03/11/2024 Kirkus Reviews 03/15/2024
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Genre 1: Books,Subjects,Science & Math,Mathematics,Applied,Game Theory
Label: Atria/One Signal Publishers
Artist: Chivers, Tom
Album: Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our Wo
Number of Pages: 384 Pages
Publication Name: Everything Is Predictable : How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
Language: English
Publisher: Atria Books
Item Height: 1.4 in
Publication Year: 2024
Subject: Game Theory, Applied, Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis
Type: Textbook
Item Weight: 18.9 Oz
Author: Tom Chivers
Item Length: 9 in
Subject Area: Mathematics
Item Width: 6 in
Format: Hardcover